{"id":365,"date":"2017-10-26T21:14:04","date_gmt":"2017-10-26T21:14:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/evbettor.com\/?p=365"},"modified":"2017-10-26T21:36:35","modified_gmt":"2017-10-26T21:36:35","slug":"helping-you-quickly-bet-on-prop-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/evbettor.com\/index.php\/2017\/10\/26\/helping-you-quickly-bet-on-prop-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"How to quickly analyze Prop Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"

Whenever people are starting to take investing in sports seriously, they will often ask “where can I find the most value is in the sportsbook?”.\u00a0 My answer is generally “look at the prop bets”.\u00a0 There will be hundreds\u00a0of props per weekend, ranging from sacks per game to\u00a0most penalty yards.\u00a0 There is a breadth of props to bet on, thus linemakers can not spend the depth of time to put out good lines on every prop.\u00a0 Props also are generally on a single player or aspect of the game, reducing the factors one needs to look at to determine what the correct line should be (although you can make it as complicated as you want).<\/p>\n

Props\u00a0are also much less followed, thus if you are able to quickly analyze a prop bet, then you will be able to find plenty of value bets on any game you want.\u00a0 \u00a0 The books know this, so there are lower limits, higher vigs, and later post times on prop bets.\u00a0 \u00a0However, this should not preclude bettors from analyzing props, as looking at a single player or single event within the game can distill where there is value to experienced bettors and what value is to novice ones.\u00a0 Getting multiple books can help alleviate the low betting limits, but as of now, this will exclude players with large bankrolls.<\/p>\n

Prop Bet Pro<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/em>, was designed to help bettors in their analysis of prop bets.\u00a0 Giving out the information to help you make your decision on the props you analyze.\u00a0 It is free to use, simply e-mail george[at]evbettor.com and a login will be sent.<\/p>\n

Below are a couple sample props and information that you would be able to uncover with Prop Bet Pro<\/a>. (*Note server time may be slow to load, but it will load and work more quickly once loaded. Thanks for\u00a0your patience)<\/em><\/p>\n

Joe Flacco vs. Miami Defense- O\/U 21.5 Completions<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Using games with Totals set below 45, from this season and last, Flacco has thrown for over 21.5 completions 77% of the time, while Miami defense has given up more than 21.5 completions 47% of the time.<\/p>\n

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Games Filter:
Total set Under 45
Seasons: 2016-17
Site: Home and Away<\/p><\/div>\n

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See how a player is trending, Flacco is throwing less completions than the previous couple\u00a0years, and more in-line with 2012-2014 seasons.<\/p>\n

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Shows the yearly trend of Joe Flacco Completions since 2012<\/p><\/div>\n

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Jarvis Landry vs. Baltimore Defense Longest Reception:\u00a0 O\/U 18 Yards<\/strong><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

How many chances will Jarvis have to catch the ball?<\/p>\n

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Jarvis has seen an uptick in targets, ranging from 10-15 targets per game<\/p><\/div>\n

A simulation (1,000 times) to determine how many times Jarvis goes over that total of 18 Yards, assuming 12 Targets<\/p>\n

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Jarvis Landry and Baltimore D (vs. WRs), assuming 12 targets<\/p><\/div>\n

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This is a tool to help prop bettors quickly look at information in an easy to understand format.\u00a0 It will NOT give you the answers, but information to help inform decisions.<\/p>\n

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Note: A poison regression analysis will be added shortly along with other factors that help determine sharper lines for these props.\u00a0 Other props analysis will be added in later versions.\u00a0 If there are any bets you would like to see a tool for, leave a comment.<\/p>\n

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Week 8 Plays<\/p>\n

Totals:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Small<\/p>\n