Week 3

By | September 21, 2017
 EVBettor
Week Wins Loss ATS Performance
1 6 3 67% 2.7%
2 8 7 53% (2.2%)
Season 14 10 58% 0.5%

 

Market Notes:

Another week where defenses dominated (or offenses were just terrible) as UNDERs went 10-5-1 and are now 20-9-2 (69%) to start the year.  Last week’s totals also closed on average 1.5 points lower than week 1 (44.5 vs 46) and this week is 44.4.

 

Chart of the Week:

The Bucs and Dolphins both won last week despite losing the success rate battle.  Miami particularly stands out as a team that squeaked by (historically when a team loses the success rate battle by 10% or more, they only win 24% of the time).  Overall teams that win the success rate battle are 2909-1617-7 (64%) straight up and 2638-1759-136 (60%) ATS.

The Steelers are 2-0 while their success rate margin is negative, so something has to give.

Week 3 selections (Not investment advice)

Spread

Big (1)
  • Det +3
  • IND +1.5
Med (.7)
  • DEN -3
  • CIN +9
Small (.5)
  • TEN -3
  • ARI +3
  • KC -3
  • NO +6
Totals
Big (1)
  • OVER CIN / IND 44.5 (*Correction CIN played GB)
  • UNDER DAL / ARI 47
  • OVER LA / SF 39
  • OVER NYG / PHI 42.5
Med (.7)
  • UNDER OAK / WAS 54
  • OVER HOU / NE 44
Small (.5)
  • OVER DEN / BUF 40
  • UNDER CLE / IND 40.5

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